Do you have any examples?

What would accurate odds in the previous two presidential elections look like to you?

Here is a direct quote from 538:

538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign “fundamentals,” such as economic conditions, state partisanship and incumbency. It’s not meant to “call” a winner, but rather to give you a sense of how likely each candidate is to win. Check out our methodology to learn exactly how we calculate these probabilities.

Source

In 2016 they gave Hillary Clinton a 71.4 % chance of winning, and in 2020 they gave Joe Biden 89 % chance of winning. They are dealing in odds, not calls.

And even if it isn’t getting through to you, how were they wrong in 2020?

If I told you that you had a five in six chance to roll the dice and not roll a one, and then you rolled the dice and got a one, was what I told you wrong?

They don’t call elections. They tell you the odds.

Doctor Strange 2

By that logic 2000 is the last year of the second millennium, 2001 is the first year of the third millennium, 2002 the second, and 2003 the third.

The era started at year 1, and not year 0. So the new millenniums starts at years that ends with 1.

It’s also the third millennium of the era. 1-1000 AD was the first, 1001-2000 AD was the second, and we are now in the third.

Everyone descends from Africans. That’s where the human species originated.

If he doesn’t end up as VP, he would be a good candidate for Mitch McConnell’s senate seat when he retires in 2026.

Where did you find an overview of the racial makeup of the top 100 companies’ employees?

Oh it is a democracy, but not “direct democracy”. We don’t choose what happens, we just choose who decides what happens.

Still not a democracy, you just described a Republic, which is what we’ve always officially been even if die hard patriots prefer to say democracy

What are you talking about? The people electing representatives that makes the final decisions is called “representative democracy”. A republic is a form of representative democracy. A constitutional monarchy, like you find a lot of in Europe, is another form of representative democracy that fit the original description, without being republics.

What did the founding fathers decide that made it impossible to have short election seasons in the US?

I have never written a PhD thesis, so I might not be the best representative, but it’s the first time I’ve heard the phrase.

What is a doctor father?

No Rolls Bared played a round of this a while back in one of their House Rules episodes.

So the US Government should not make money available ASAP to rebuild the bridge, but instead wait for the laughable scenario that the company pays for the damages?

Sure, and a window on the fifth floor is technically an exit. But that doesn’t make it a viable option.

Which politician do you believe would be able to solve all or any of those issues with the razor thin majority in Congress the Democrats have had during Biden’s administration?

Brandon Sanderson’s Cosmere universe would be fantastic. The last thing I remember hearing was that he was working on a script for a Mistborn movie. I would’ve preferred a TV-show, but he feels it would work better as a movie, and I trust his judgement.