• Aria@lemmygrad.ml
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    45
    ·
    9 months ago

    I think when the highest quality most respected China collapse preachers say collapse, they mean entering a Japan style stagnation. I’m not sure, because that would require me to consume a lot of China collapse preacher content, but I think that’s how they can justify the narrative across different levels of seriousness.

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      56
      arrow-down
      2
      ·
      edit-2
      9 months ago

      Even that narrative is fundamentally flawed because Japan’s stagnation in the 80s was a direct result of US imposing Plaza Accords on Japan. There is no opportunity for US to do the same with China.

    • Gucci_Minh [he/him]@hexbear.net
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      41
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      edit-2
      9 months ago

      If China can manage to turn its industries and markets to an internal production/consumption model and reduce its reliance on being an export economy, it would be much better off even without the massive growth. Growth will have to stop at some point, and the focus will be on stability, since China hasn’t made any indications it’ll try to fuel growth through imperialism like western economies have. Japan style stagnation would be not so terrible if your society is socialist.

        • Gucci_Minh [he/him]@hexbear.net
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          29
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          9 months ago

          Even with the current model of state directed capitalism, the amount of investment into social services and poverty reduction already shame the west. China isn’t yet in a position to press the communism button, but once the threat of America and it’s puppets decline there may well be a pivot.

          • Des [she/her, they/them]@hexbear.net
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            15
            arrow-down
            2
            ·
            9 months ago

            i think america is the main reason they still have shitty work conditions. i mean they still are better then the U.S. but it’s sort of the inverse of the U.S.-Soviet competition over working conditions

            so either way America has got to go