"The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.”
The registered Democrat said she identifies as pro-life but doesn’t think anyone should make that choice for somebody else.
That’s … pro-choice.
Which is why allowing the right to use the label “pro-life” was a cardinal sin of the Democrats’ strategy
I’m literally pro-life: I support saving lives whenever and wherever it’s reasonable to do so
But I’m pro-choice, because I don’t think I should be the one to decide for everyone else which situation is reasonable and which isn’t. Also, women deserve basic fucking rights and bodily autonomy is, like, the number one most fundamental right
We really ought to change the nature of the conversation: it’s not “pro-life”. It’s pro-enslavement, pro-religious-tyranny, and pro-absolutism
That’s the power of propaganda. As long as she is pro-choice in her voting, I don’t care what she thinks it’s called internally. Like the people who demonize Obamacare but support its individual policies. They usually vote against it though.
I hope all those farmers are paying attention to who won them the right to repair their tractors.
Doesn’t matter; vote.
The whole article is worth a read, I picked up on this in particular:
Harris holds on to the support of nearly all Democrats, with 97% saying they will support her and 0% saying they will support Trump.
But she also gets 5% of Republicans who say they will vote for her over Trump. Trump holds 89% of Republicans.All you folks who are wondering why Harris was so eager to work with the Cheneys and other Republicans and move further to the center, this is why. That 5% probably makes up a good portion of the difference between this poll and prior polls (along with the 6% of Republicans there who woudl vote for neither.) Trump is trying to cast Harris as a far left, communist, radical choice. But when she is on stage with Liz Cheney, it shows everyone how absurd that characterization is.
If she does in fact win Iowa, and other states that weren’t considered toss-ups, it will be directly due to that outreach across the aisle.
I am literally going to cry like a fucking baby if she wins IOWA of all places.
#VOTE!!!
If this shift is both A)right and B) representative across states, Harris is looking at over 400 electoral votes on Tuesday. I feel crazy just typing that
I remember seeing all this Hilary crushing trump in the polls and bro won… Fucking vote and fuck the polls
Ignore the polls and vote. Just freaking vote.
Harris holds on to the support of nearly all Democrats, with 97% saying they will support her and 0% saying they will support Trump.
But she also gets 5% of Republicans who say they will vote for her over Trump. Trump holds 89% of Republicans.
The poll shows a small universe of people who say they previously supported Trump and have now switched their vote to someone else.
Among those not supporting Trump, 16% say there was a time when they supported him, while 81% say they have never supported him. Another 3% are not sure.
This is a factor that very few polls ever look for. There are so many reasons to oppose Trump which transcend partisan politics. We’ve had so many Republicans endorse Harris, but you don’t see many polls looking for the voters that are making the same jump.
The implications are huge. Every voter that switches from Trump to Harris is a net gain of 2 votes. And if they are still registered Republicans, any early voting data will likely be interpreted with them in the Trump column until they are actually counted. And of course, any voter turnout efforts paid for by the Trump campaign will likely be turning these people out as well, which is just delightful.
We’ll see how accurate this is on Tuesday. But if Iowa really does go blue, it seems likely that it won’t be the only surprise that night.
If Iowa goes blue, then the election overall is very likely going to be a landslide for Harris.
Vote anyway if anyone hasn’t yet. Because no matter if it’s close, a few points, or a sweep Trump is already planning on calling it rigged (he already has) and rallying his supporters to do who knows what. It’s going to be a long few months, maybe more.
Also, don’t forget that voting just gets a preferred candidate into office, you still have to remind and pressure them on topics you feel important, regularly. I think this is really where America fails as a representative democracy, most people don’t follow up on what they were all hyped up about during an election.
Yeah the goal here is a landslide. We need maga shit dead electorally.
duuuuuude if this is happening in iowa, could it also be happening in other redish states… florida maybe?
Never estimate Florida, it will always disappoint
Frick it locking in, if the early voting data saw this coming days ago I’m not ignoring what else they have. My prediction. SOMEHOW, THE ORIGINAL SWING STATES RETURNED. WE CAME FOR THEIR FIRST IN LINE SPOTS AND THEY SAID “NO U”
(This is basically the early voting data except swung slightly right to account for the right wing edge on election day. Iowa and New Hampshire are the weakest blue states and Georgia and North Carolina are the weakest red states in early voting right now. Yes this is insanely weird, but fuck it let’s follow this data off the cliff)
This considers only party registration. Harris seems to be pulling in a substantial number of Republicans - an amount far, far greater than the number of Democrats voting for Trump.
welp
